Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005847 0.006187 0.006539 0.006932 0.007361 0.007814 0.008332
2026-01-18 0.005265 0.005756 0.006291 0.006919 0.007641 0.008450 0.009433
2026-01-25 0.004871 0.005440 0.006079 0.006856 0.007783 0.008866 0.010242
2026-02-01 0.004689 0.005331 0.006072 0.006999 0.008144 0.009531 0.011370
2026-02-08 0.004455 0.005137 0.005939 0.006968 0.008273 0.009903 0.012146
2026-02-15 0.004271 0.004985 0.005841 0.006962 0.008420 0.010294 0.012959
2026-02-22 0.004066 0.004794 0.005680 0.006860 0.008427 0.010491 0.013515
2026-03-01 0.003889 0.004626 0.005537 0.006769 0.008436 0.010681 0.014065
2026-03-08 0.003767 0.004521 0.005465 0.006763 0.008553 0.011021 0.014851
2026-03-15 0.003570 0.004311 0.005248 0.006549 0.008369 0.010920 0.014964
2026-03-22 0.003485 0.004242 0.005209 0.006573 0.008515 0.011297 0.015832
2026-03-29 0.003428 0.004206 0.005212 0.006653 0.008741 0.011802 0.016945
2026-04-05 0.003324 0.004104 0.005124 0.006602 0.008778 0.012027 0.017630
2026-04-12 0.003240 0.004027 0.005066 0.006590 0.008869 0.012341 0.018492
2026-04-19 0.003146 0.003932 0.004979 0.006531 0.008884 0.012534 0.019159
2026-04-26 0.003123 0.003932 0.005023 0.006664 0.009200 0.013228 0.020794
2026-05-03 0.003048 0.003859 0.004961 0.006636 0.009259 0.013502 0.021679
2026-05-10 0.002985 0.003800 0.004916 0.006630 0.009353 0.013840 0.022718
2026-05-17 0.002898 0.003704 0.004814 0.006535 0.009296 0.013911 0.023235
2026-05-24 0.002819 0.003616 0.004722 0.006450 0.009250 0.013997 0.023790
2026-05-31 0.002767 0.003566 0.004683 0.006444 0.009335 0.014321 0.024873
2026-06-07 0.002661 0.003436 0.004524 0.006245 0.009086 0.014022 0.024589
2026-06-14 0.002623 0.003404 0.004506 0.006267 0.009213 0.014421 0.025879